\n
At a time when Hezbollah and Israel have been locked in a low-level war for almost a year, these attacks will have devastating consequences for Hezbollah\u2019s manpower, communications and morale.<\/p>\n
Israel has yet to comment, but this was undoubtedly its work – no other group or country has the motivation or capacity to do something like this.<\/p>\n
It is the latest in a series of sophisticated military and undercover operations that have included, since mid-July, a long-range air raid in Yemen, as well as assassinations in Beirut and Tehran.<\/p>\n
Do the pager attacks herald a larger Israeli operation?<\/p>\n
With large numbers of Hezbollah’s personnel now injured and its vital communication network massively – and embarrassingly – disrupted, this would clearly be a tempting moment for Israel to take advantage.<\/p>\n
Israeli leaders have been signalling, in recent days, their desire to alter the military status quo along the Lebanese border.<\/p>\n
On Sunday, Israel\u2019s Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, said Israel needed \u201ca change in the balance of power on our northern border”.<\/p>\n
Tens of thousands of Israeli citizens have spent most of a year away from their homes. Israel ordered an evacuation of vulnerable northern communities when Hezbollah started firing rockets into northern Israel, soon after the Gaza war began.<\/p>\n
Months of retaliatory Israeli air strikes have also forced huge numbers of Lebanese civilians to abandon their homes.<\/p>\n
On Monday, Mr Netanyahu and his defence minister, Yoav Gallant, both warned a visiting US official that Israel was prepared to do whatever it took to ensure its security.<\/p>\n
For the first time, the government also said its Gaza war aims included allowing Israelis to return to their homes, raising the spectre of a wider conflict, possibly involving a limited ground invasion to create a buffer zone in southern Lebanon.<\/p>\n
There are no signs yet of the sort of build up of men and armour that would be needed for a major military incursion, but today\u2019s attacks represent yet another dangerous escalation.<\/p>\n
It is hard to see how Hezbollah won\u2019t feel compelled to respond in some way.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
\n
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